At a circuit full of medium velocity corners, the place downforce is king, it might have been foolish to wager towards one of many McLarens grabbing a cushty pole. Foolish… but appropriate.
Till Q2, although, the prospect of a McLaren defeat seemed distant. Lando Norris headed Oscar Piastri by half a tenth, with a surprisingly fast Aston Martin of Lance Stroll third. The 2 McLarens have been the one vehicles to dip under the 1m15 mark, whereas eventual polesitter Charles Leclerc was nearly six tenths off after a lacklustre 1m15.6s lap put him sixth.
Each observe and air temperatures dropped all through the session, however a a lot larger issue was a sudden 90-degree change of wind path because the Q3 shootout acquired underway, whereas the common wind speeds elevated, and gusts picked up in depth.
Lando Norris, McLaren, Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Picture by: Sam Bagnall / Sutton Pictures by way of Getty Pictures
That change is simple to hint on the telemetry as effectively, with drivers immediately wherever between 5 to eight km/h slower on the principle straight, as a crosswind became a headwind for vehicles to punch into.
On account of the altering situations, the observe turned slower on common, with Leclerc the one driver out of the ten Q3 drivers to go quicker, largely defined by a sizeable mistake in Q2.
Intriguingly, the change in situations affected the in any other case dominant McLarens way more than the competitors, with each Norris and Piastri round half a second slower in Q3 than they managed simply minutes earlier.
“With out disclosing an excessive amount of of IP, let me say that after we take a look at the wind path in some corners, then we are able to recognise that in among the corners the place we lose essentially the most in comparison with ourself in Q2, we see a sure wind sample” – Andrea Stella
Analysing the information

Charles Leclerc, Ferrari vs Oscar Piastri,, McLaren, comparability Qualifying laps Q2 and Q3
Picture by: Motorsport Community
In response to workforce principal Andrea Stella, round one tenth was all the way down to his drivers taking fewer dangers than Leclerc, whereas 4 tenths may very well be replicated within the simulation information as being real misplaced automotive efficiency. That might additionally clarify why it affected each drivers fairly evenly.
When requested by Motorsport.com to make clear a complicated Q3 shootout, Stella replied: “We positively had a big change of situations. From Q2 to Q3 everybody went slower. We went slower by about half a second in common. Truly, we simulated the change of situations in our simulations and it provides just a little bit lower than that, however about 4 tenths of a second.
“I feel for Lando and Oscar, after they’d seen within the first run that situations had modified, that the grip wasn’t what they anticipated, that each nook was going to be a bit unpredictable, I feel within the second set they wanted to be a bit cautious.
“If you race for the championship, you wish to just remember to are there. I feel it is a barely completely different strategy for Charles. I feel he simply went for it, and it paid off. And it is a credit score and benefit to an excellent execution by Ferrari and Charles.”
Leclerc did do exceedingly effectively to grab pole away from the McLarens, however that also would not clarify why McLaren misplaced a lot lap time towards its personal lofty benchmark. And whereas Stella was cagey to disclose too many secrets and techniques, he hinted at a sure wind sensitivity changing into McLaren’s Achilles heel on the Hungaroring.
Did wind path matter this a lot?

Lando Norris, McLaren
Picture by: Alastair Staley / LAT Pictures by way of Getty Pictures
“With out disclosing an excessive amount of of IP [intellectual property], let me say that after we take a look at the wind path in some corners, then we are able to recognise that in among the corners the place we lose essentially the most in comparison with ourself in Q2, we see a sure wind sample,” he defined.
“So, after we take a look at our aerodynamic maps, then we are able to correlate with the truth that it’s not sudden that in corners by which we’ve got this variation of the wind sample, then we pay the largest value. I can’t disclose what these situations are.”
Nevertheless, overlaying the GPS information with the wind path, there appears to be sufficient data to determine what’s going on. The wind change made vehicles tough to drive in all places as drivers tailored to the completely different downforce ranges and automotive steadiness, however there are two key corners the place Piastri and Norris have been shedding extra time towards their very own benchmarks than others; Turns 13 and 14.
Right here’s what we’ve pieced collectively:
- The mixed 0.250s each Norris and Piastri misplaced by way of the Hungaroring’s remaining nook sequence seems to level to an exaggerated sensitivity of the MCL39 in crosswinds.
- Flip-in for the 180-degree Flip 13 left-hander began in a headwind, and because the downforce steadily fell away each drivers have been having to finish up making corrections by way of mid-corners crosswinds. Because the circuit turns again onto itself, the other is true for Flip 14, which began extra squirrely in a tailwind earlier than turning right into a headwind which helped vehicles rotate onto the straight.
- Each drivers additionally misplaced round half a tenth within the increased velocity Flip 11, which turned a crosswind nook as effectively. And decrease Flip 14 exit speeds then assist clarify why the McLarens misplaced extra time on the straight in comparison with their direct rivals, to the tune of 0.150s between the start-finish line and the braking zone for Flip 1.
Whether or not a crosswind sensitivity is the total story or simply part of the reason for McLaren’s puzzling efficiency loss, it did not come to a shock for the workforce given these 2025 vehicles bear few secrets and techniques any extra previous the season’s midway level.
“It’s an fascinating affirmation that there’s nothing random,” Stella added. “System 1 vehicles are aerodynamic machines that base their lap time just about on the aerodynamic forces. They rely within the first order on the wind path and the wind depth, and that is what we’ve got validated as we speak.”
However Stella remains to be assured his vehicles can take the battle to Leclerc on Sunday, no matter whether or not or not the 40 % probability of rain materialises.
“I am type of optimistic that we will specific the tempo of the automotive at full potential,” he concluded. “I have been saying to a few of you already that Ferrari was within the recreation, Ferrari gave the impression to be aggressive, however on the similar time we’re assured that we are going to have the tempo to battle for the victory.”
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