The Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder are heavy favorites as they play host to Recreation 1 of the Western Convention finals on Tuesday, however they are going to be dealing with a well-rested Minnesota Timberwolves group.
Whereas the Thunder are recent off a Recreation 7 victory towards Denver on Sunday, the Timberwolves have not performed since eliminating Golden State six days in the past.
ODDS & TRENDS
The Thunder are consensus 7.5-point favorites. That features at BetRivers, the place the Timberwolves have been a preferred underdog with 67 p.c of the tickets and 69 p.c of the cash backing them to cowl.
The Over on the 216.5-point whole bets line has drawn 92 p.c of the cash. That is regardless of every of Minnesota’s previous 4 playoff video games the place they entered because the underdog going below the full factors line.
PROP PICKS
–Alex Caruso 2+ 3-Level FGs Made (+110 at BetRivers): Caruso has drained at the very least two three-pointers in 4 of the Thunder’s previous 5 video games. He provides an much more tantalizing payout at +280 to hit three or extra on Tuesday night time.
–Julius Randle Over 19.5 Factors (-125 at DraftKings): Randle is coming off a 29-point effort in Minnesota’s Recreation 5 victory over Golden State, and averaged 25.2 factors for the collection. That is after averaging 22.6 factors towards the Lakers within the earlier collection, and Randle has scored 20-plus factors in eight of 10 playoff video games.
PLAYOFF HISTORY
The Timberwolves are within the convention finals for the second consecutive season and the third time of their historical past. Minnesota has by no means superior to the NBA Finals.
Oklahoma Metropolis is within the Western Convention finals for the primary time since 2016 and in search of its first NBA Finals look since 2012.
FEELING DEFENSIVE
The collection options two of the NBA’s high defenses, each throughout the common season and within the playoffs.
The Thunder boast a 101.6 defensive ranking — factors allowed per 100 possessions — in 11 playoff video games, finest this postseason. Minnesota’s 106.8 defensive ranking is second.
NEW ERA OF STARS
The matchup additionally options two of the league’s high younger stars in Oklahoma Metropolis’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Timberwolves’ Anthony Edwards.
Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.0 factors, 6.4 assists and 5.9 rebounds this postseason whereas Edwards is averaging 26.5 factors, 8.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists.
Gilgeous-Alexander, the front-runner for Most Worthwhile Participant honors, is trying ahead to the matchup towards cousin Nickeil Alexander-Walker of Minnesota.
The 2 gamers have been born lower than two months aside in Toronto and each attended Hamilton Heights Christian Academy in Chattanooga, Tenn.
“It’s going to be very enjoyable,” Gilgeous-Alexander stated. “It is arduous to even clarify. If you understand how shut we’re, he is actually like my second brother. He is been by each stage of life with me — selecting up a basketball to going to prep faculty to creating the NBA, we have gone by each state of affairs collectively. For each of us to be the place we’re is particular, to compete towards one another much more particular.
“However I’m attempting to take his head off for positive.”
In a 2023 play-in sport, Alexander-Walker helped maintain his cousin to a 5-of-19 taking pictures night time.
Alexander-Walker stated Gilgeous-Alexander’s consistency has lifted him to a unique echelon.
“That comes from diligence, arduous work, seeing it firsthand and self-discipline that in truth I have not seen in anyone else,” Alexander-Walker stated. “I’ve not seen self-discipline like his. So I believe that is the primary purpose why individuals assume he is made a leap when actually he is simply been in a position to be constantly that, as a result of he is been so disciplined in his method.”
SEASON SERIES
The groups cut up their four-game season collection and cut up their two video games in Oklahoma Metropolis.
Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert performed in simply a type of video games — a New Yr’s Eve loss — whereas Chet Holmgren appeared in two of the video games for the Thunder.
“Apples to apples, I do not know if these video games are the proper framework by which to take a look at the collection,” Thunder coach Mark Daigneault stated. “It’s going to be completely different.”
PREDICTION
The Timberwolves have coated the unfold in 16 of their previous 17 video games as an underdog when taking part in with a relaxation benefit, in accordance with BetRivers. So, whereas Minnesota will probably be hard-pressed to drag an enormous highway upset in Recreation 1, do not be shocked to see them cowl. –Thunder 116, Timberwolves 110
–Subject Stage Media
